Football · Greek Cup · Greece
Kalamata vs PAOK
Wednesday, 02 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes PAOK favourites at 45% (Kalamata 34%, draw 21%). That rests on 6 wins in PAOK's last 10 matches to 4 for Kalamata and 3 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give PAOK about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 61%.
Key facts
- Kalamata are 6th in Greek Cup on 5 points from 3 games; PAOK are 3rd on 7.
- They last met on 12 Oct 2026, when Kalamata won 3-1.
Greece•Greek Cup
vs
Wednesday, 02 December 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1716/12
1.601.60
1.701.20
7/109/10
5/105/10
9/107/10
4/103/10
1/103/10
3/101/10
9/108/10
5/107/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Kalamata at homePaok away
44
2/42/4
1/40/4
1/42/4
2.001.50
1.501.50
3/44/4
2/41/4
2/41/4
4/43/4
1/42/4
0/41/4
1/40/4
2/43/4
3/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Kalamata: 1.46
Expected Goals
Paok: 1.73
Kalamata
34%
Draw
21%
Paok
45%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 61%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.9%
1 — Kalamata
4.70
Implied 20%
Edge +14.5%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -3.8%
2 — PAOK
1.65
Implied 56%
Edge -10.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Kalamata · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Chrisoupolis#15 vs Kalamata#6
0-2W
25 Oct2026
Olympiacos Piraeus#1 vs Kalamata#6
5-0L
18 Oct2026
Kalamata#6 vs Ofi Crete#7
4-3W
12 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
1-3W
20 Sept2026
Kalamata#6 vs Panathinaikos#2
0-1L
17 Sept2026
Kalamata#6 vs Ael Larissa#11
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Kalamata#6 vs Volos#13
3-1W
06 Sept2026
Atromitos#5 vs Kalamata#6
1-1D
01 Sept2026
Volos#13 vs Kalamata#6
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Panetolikos#10 vs Kalamata#6
2-0L
Team 2 Form
Paok · # = league position now
01 Nov2026
Paok#3 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
2-1W
28 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Aek Athens#4
3-1W
25 Oct2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Paok#3
2-1L
18 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Iraklis 1908#9
2-1W
12 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
1-3L
20 Sept2026
Panetolikos#10 vs Paok#3
1-3W
16 Sept2026
Atromitos#5 vs Paok#3
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Aris#10
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Panathinaikos#2 vs Paok#3
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Paok#3 vs Ofi Crete#7
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
1-3•
10 Jan2023
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
2-0•
14 Dec2022
Kalamata#6 vs Paok#3
0-2•
28 Jan2001
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
7-1•
16 Sept2000
Kalamata#6 vs Paok#3
0-0•
13 Feb2000
Kalamata#6 vs Paok#3
1-1•
26 Sept2099
Paok#3 vs Kalamata#6
4-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Kalamata
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