Jong Utrecht vs Heracles

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Heracles favourites at 60% (Jong Utrecht 22%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.36 to 1.34, 4 wins in Heracles's last 10 matches to 2 for Jong Utrecht and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 58%. Heracles won 6-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Jong Utrecht have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 3 Feb 2023, when Heracles won 6-1.