Jena vs Darmstadt

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Jena favourites at 49% (Darmstadt 32%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.10 to 1.66 and 7 wins in Jena's last 10 matches to 3 for Darmstadt. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 65%. Darmstadt won 2-1, against the model's 49% for Jena.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 14 Apr 2012, when Jena won 2-1.
• 4 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.