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Football · Ekstraklasa · Poland

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Wisla Plock favourites at 42% (Jagiellonia 37%, draw 21%). That rests on 5 wins in Wisla Plock's last 10 matches to 3 for Jagiellonia. Bookmakers give Wisla Plock about 27% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 62%.

Key facts

  • Jagiellonia are 13th in Ekstraklasa on 12 points from 10 games; Wisla Plock are 10th on 14.
  • They last met on 21 Mar 2026, when Wisla Plock won 2-1.
  • Wisla Plock concede 2.17 goals a game away from home.
Poland•Ekstraklasa
Rank 13 · 12 pts
L2d
L6d
W9d
L14d
L21d
W25d
L34d
L38d
L43d
W48d
3W · 0D · 7L
vs
Rank 10 · 14 pts
W5d
L15d
W22d
W34d
W41d
D47d
W52d
L57d
L62d
L78d
5W · 1D · 4L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1814/17
1.401.40
1.801.70
7/107/10
3/104/10
9/108/10
6/105/10
1/102/10
3/103/10
9/109/10
8/106/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Jagiellonia at homeWisla Plock away
76
3/72/6
0/71/6
4/73/6
1.861.17
1.862.17
6/74/6
3/72/6
2/71/6
6/75/6
4/74/6
1/71/6
1/72/6
7/74/6
5/73/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Jagiellonia: 1.57
Expected Goals
Wisla Plock: 1.7
Jagiellonia
37%
Draw
21%
Wisla Plock
42%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Jagiellonia
1.97▲
Implied 47%
Edge -10.0%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -4.7%
2 — Wisla Plock
3.40▼
Implied 27%
Edge +14.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Jagiellonia · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Anderlecht#5
0-3L
18 Oct2026
Zaglebie#6 vs Jagiellonia#13
1-0L
15 Oct2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Ararat-armenia#36
3-1W
10 Oct2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
1-3L
03 Oct2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Polonia Warszawa
1-2L
29 Sept2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Suduva
5-0W
20 Sept2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Legia#3
1-3L
16 Sept2026
Olympiacos Piraeus#2 vs Jagiellonia#13
2-1L
11 Sept2026
Wisla#8 vs Jagiellonia#13
2-0L
06 Sept2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Slask Wroclaw#17
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Wisla Plock · # = league position now
19 Oct2026
Wisla Plock#10 vs Radomiak Radom#16
1-0W
09 Oct2026
Wieczysta Krakow#15 vs Wisla Plock#10
3-0L
02 Oct2026
Wisla Plock#10 vs Skierniewice
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Zaglebie#6 vs Wisla Plock#10
0-2W
13 Sept2026
Wisla Plock#10 vs Cracovia#12
3-1W
07 Sept2026
Pogon Szczecin#4 vs Wisla Plock#10
1-1D
02 Sept2026
Luzino vs Wisla Plock#10
2-3W
28 Aug2026
Wisla Plock#10 vs Korona Kielce#9
0-2L
23 Aug2026
Gks Katowice#7 vs Wisla Plock#10
5-0L
07 Aug2026
Wisla#8 vs Wisla Plock#10
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
21 Mar2026
Jagiellonia#13 vs Wisla Plock#10
1-2•
19 Sept2025
Wisla Plock#10 vs Jagiellonia#13
0-1•
21 Apr2023
Wisla Plock#10 vs Jagiellonia#13
2-4•
14 Jan2023
Wisla Plock#10 vs Jagiellonia#13
3-1•
07 Oct2022
Jagiellonia#13 vs Wisla Plock#10
1-1•
13 Mar2022
Jagiellonia#13 vs Wisla Plock#10
0-1•
18 Sept2021
Wisla Plock#10 vs Jagiellonia#13
3-0•
18 Apr2021
Wisla Plock#10 vs Jagiellonia#13
2-2•
23 Nov2020
Jagiellonia#13 vs Wisla Plock#10
5-2•
06 Jun2020
Jagiellonia#13 vs Wisla Plock#10
2-2•

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