Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Jagiellonia favourites at 55% (Anderlecht 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 1.08. Anderlecht come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 3), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 51%. Anderlecht won 3-0, against the model's 55% for Jagiellonia.