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Football · Premier League · Azerbaijan

Imisli FK vs Shamakhi

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Shamakhi favourites at 65% (Imisli FK 16%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.91 to 0.78, Shamakhi sitting 6th in the table to Imisli FK's 10th, 4 wins in Shamakhi's last 10 matches to 2 for Imisli FK and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 42%.

Key facts

  • Shamakhi are unbeaten in 7 matches.
  • They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when it finished 0-0.
  • Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Azerbaijan•Premier League
Rank 10 · 7 pts
W6d
L13d
L35d
L43d
L50d
W56d
L63d
D70d
D153d
L161d
2W · 2D · 6L
vs
Rank 6 · 13 pts
W8d
D14d
W34d
D42d
W50d
D56d
D62d
L68d
L156d
W161d
4W · 4D · 2L
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-5-4
Last 10 matches
1010
8/1716/14
0.801.60
1.701.40
7/108/10
1/104/10
7/108/10
6/104/10
3/102/10
3/102/10
7/108/10
5/106/10
5/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Imisli fk at homeShamakhi away
47
1/41/7
1/44/7
2/42/7
1.001.14
1.501.29
3/45/7
1/41/7
0/41/7
3/45/7
2/42/7
1/42/7
1/42/7
1/43/7
2/45/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Imisli fk: 0.78
Expected Goals
Shamakhi: 1.91
Imisli fk
16%
Draw
19%
Shamakhi
65%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 42%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.1%
1 — Imisli FK
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -12.0%
X
3.00▲
Implied 31%
Edge -11.8%
2 — Shamakhi
2.25▲
Implied 41%
Edge +23.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Imisli fk · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Imisli fk#10 vs Turan Tovuz#5
1-0W
11 Oct2026
Imisli fk#10 vs Qarabag#3
0-2L
19 Sept2026
Sabah fc#1 vs Imisli fk#10
3-1L
11 Sept2026
Imisli fk#10 vs Neftci Baku#2
2-3L
04 Sept2026
Gabala#9 vs Imisli fk#10
2-1L
29 Aug2026
Safa Baku#11 vs Imisli fk#10
0-1W
22 Aug2026
Zira#4 vs Imisli fk#10
3-1L
15 Aug2026
Araz#12 vs Imisli fk#10
0-0D
24 May2026
Imisli fk#10 vs Karvan
1-1D
16 May2026
Qarabag#3 vs Imisli fk#10
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Shamakhi · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Shamakhi#6 vs Safa Baku#11
3-2W
10 Oct2026
Zira#4 vs Shamakhi#6
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Shamakhi#6 vs Araz#12
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Sumqayit#8 vs Shamakhi#6
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Kapaz#7 vs Shamakhi#6
1-4W
29 Aug2026
Gabala#9 vs Shamakhi#6
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Turan Tovuz#5 vs Shamakhi#6
0-0D
17 Aug2026
Qarabag#3 vs Shamakhi#6
3-1L
21 May2026
Gabala#9 vs Shamakhi#6
3-1L
16 May2026
Shamakhi#6 vs Turan Tovuz#5
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Mar2026
Shamakhi#6 vs Imisli fk#10
0-0•
22 Feb2026
Imisli fk#10 vs Shamakhi#6
0-0•
07 Nov2025
Shamakhi#6 vs Imisli fk#10
1-0•
29 Mar2024
Imisli fk#10 vs Shamakhi#6
0-0•
14 Dec2023
Shamakhi#6 vs Imisli fk#10
0-0•
28 Sept2023
Imisli fk#10 vs Shamakhi#6
0-3•
07 May2007
Imisli fk#10 vs Shamakhi#6
0-2•
09 Nov2006
Shamakhi#6 vs Imisli fk#10
0-1•
22 Feb2006
Shamakhi#6 vs Imisli fk#10
1-0•
27 Aug2005
Imisli fk#10 vs Shamakhi#6
2-2•

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