Hungary vs Georgia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hungary favourites at 52% (Georgia 24%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.47 to 0.88 and 5 wins in Hungary's last 10 matches to 2 for Georgia. It put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 43%. Hungary won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 1 Sept 2001, when Georgia won 3-1.