Football · DFB Pokal · Germany
Holstein Kiel vs FC Koln
Tuesday, 01 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Holstein Kiel favourites at 43% (FC Koln 33%, draw 24%). FC Koln lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Holstein Kiel about 27% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 51%.
Key facts
- They last met on 29 Oct 2024, when FC Koln won 3-0.
- FC Koln concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Germany•DFB Pokal
L3d
L9d
D13d
W16d
D25d
L32d
W38d
D52d
L58d
D66d
fc Koln(3)
L2d
D9d
W14d
D17d
L25d
W30d
D38d
L52d
D59d
L67d
Tuesday, 01 December 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
11/1014/14
1.101.40
1.001.40
6/108/10
3/103/10
8/108/10
2/104/10
2/102/10
4/102/10
6/108/10
4/106/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Holstein Kiel at homefc Koln away
75
2/70/5
4/72/5
1/73/5
1.571.00
1.002.00
6/74/5
3/71/5
2/70/5
5/75/5
2/73/5
2/70/5
1/71/5
4/73/5
5/74/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Holstein Kiel: 1.38
Expected Goals
fc Koln: 1.16
Holstein Kiel
43%
Draw
24%
fc Koln
33%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.0%
1 — Holstein Kiel
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge +15.5%
X
4.00▲
Implied 23%
Edge +0.6%
2 — FC Koln
1.90▼
Implied 49%
Edge -16.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Holstein Kiel · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Arminia Bielefeld#6
1-2L
01 Nov2026
Greuther Furth#10 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
28 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hoffenheim#9
1-1D
25 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs sg Dynamo Dresden#15
3-0W
16 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Hertha Berlin#1
0-0D
09 Oct2026
Braunschweig#13 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
03 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Viborg#3
3-1W
19 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Vfl Osnabruck#14
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Heidenheim#7 vs Holstein Kiel#18
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Nurnberg#2
2-2D
Team 2 Form
fc Koln · # = league position now
08 Nov2026
fc Koln#15 vs Bayer Leverkusen#5
1-2L
01 Nov2026
Union Berlin#16 vs fc Koln#15
1-1D
27 Oct2026
fc Koln#15 vs Union Berlin#16
5-0W
24 Oct2026
fc Koln#15 vs Schalke#17
0-0D
16 Oct2026
Eintracht Frankfurt#10 vs fc Koln#15
1-0L
11 Oct2026
fc Koln#15 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Viktoria Koln vs fc Koln#15
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Hamburger sv#11 vs fc Koln#15
2-1L
12 Sept2026
fc Koln#15 vs Werder Bremen#6
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Stuttgart#8 vs fc Koln#15
4-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
29 Oct2024
fc Koln#15 vs Holstein Kiel#18
3-0•
29 May2021
Holstein Kiel#18 vs fc Koln#15
1-5•
26 May2021
fc Koln#15 vs Holstein Kiel#18
0-1•
31 Mar2019
fc Koln#15 vs Holstein Kiel#18
4-0•
20 Oct2018
Holstein Kiel#18 vs fc Koln#15
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Holstein Kiel
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