Helmond vs Heracles

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Heracles favourites at 79% (Helmond 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.92 to 0.87, 8 wins in Heracles's last 10 matches to 3 for Helmond and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 47%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 12%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 21 Apr 2023, when Heracles won 1-0.