Hartlepool vs Marine

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Marine favourites at 57% (Hartlepool 22%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 0.98 and 7 wins in Marine's last 10 matches to 2 for Hartlepool. It put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 53%. Marine won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Marine have won 5 matches in a row.