Harrogate vs Tamworth

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 71% (Tamworth 15%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.95 to 1.31 and 7 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 3 for Tamworth. Tamworth lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 71%. Harrogate won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 Mar 2018, when it finished 1-1.