Harrogate vs Gateshead

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 74% (Gateshead 12%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.78 to 1.02, 6 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 1 for Gateshead and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 64%. Harrogate won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 25 Jul 2023, when Gateshead won 2-0.