Harrogate vs Eastleigh

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 54% (Eastleigh 25%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.14 and 6 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 4 for Eastleigh. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 58%. Harrogate won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 22 Feb 2020, when Harrogate won 3-0.
• 4 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.