Football · League One · Scotland
Hamilton vs Montrose
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Hamilton favourites at 85% (Montrose 4%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.59 to 0.38, 9 wins in Hamilton's last 10 matches to 5 for Montrose and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Hamilton about 68% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 39%.
Key facts
- Hamilton are unbeaten in 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Hamilton's last 10 matches and 8 of Montrose's.
- Hamilton scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Hamilton have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Hamilton kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Scotland•League One
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 8-2-0
Last 10 matches
1010
24/516/17
2.401.60
0.501.70
10/108/10
8/106/10
5/109/10
0/104/10
5/101/10
0/102/10
9/109/10
7/108/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Hamilton at homeMontrose away
55
5/51/5
0/51/5
0/53/5
2.401.20
0.601.60
5/54/5
4/52/5
2/50/5
3/55/5
0/52/5
2/50/5
0/51/5
4/53/5
3/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Hamilton: 2.59
Expected Goals
Montrose: 0.38
Hamilton
85%
Draw
11%
Montrose
4%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 39%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.2%
1 — Hamilton
1.35▼
Implied 68%
Edge +17.2%
X
4.80▼
Implied 19%
Edge -8.1%
2 — Montrose
7.00
Implied 13%
Edge -9.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Hamilton · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Ross County#1 vs Hamilton#2
1-1D
24 Oct2026
Hamilton#2 vs East Fife#9
2-1W
17 Oct2026
Airdrieonians#5 vs Hamilton#2
1-2W
13 Oct2026
Gala Fairydean vs Hamilton#2
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Alloa#7 vs Hamilton#2
0-3W
03 Oct2026
Hamilton#2 vs Peterhead#8
2-1W
26 Sept2026
Hamilton#2 vs Kilmarnock b
3-0W
23 Sept2026
Hamilton#2 vs Cowdenbeath
1-0W
19 Sept2026
Hamilton#2 vs Queen of South#6
4-1W
08 Sept2026
Spartans#4 vs Hamilton#2
0-4W
Team 2 Form
Montrose · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Montrose#3 vs Peterhead#8
3-0W
17 Oct2026
East Kilbride#4 vs Montrose#3
1-1D
13 Oct2026
Montrose#3 vs Dundee Utd b
2-1W
10 Oct2026
Montrose#3 vs Ross County#1
0-5L
03 Oct2026
Airdrieonians#5 vs Montrose#3
1-0L
26 Sept2026
Kelty Hearts#5 vs Montrose#3
2-1L
22 Sept2026
Formartine Utd vs Montrose#3
3-2L
19 Sept2026
East Fife#9 vs Montrose#3
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Montrose#3 vs Cove Rangers#10
2-1W
08 Sept2026
Montrose#3 vs Dundee fc b
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Aug2026
Montrose#3 vs Hamilton#2
0-5•
18 Apr2026
Montrose#3 vs Hamilton#2
0-2•
28 Feb2026
Hamilton#2 vs Montrose#3
1-1•
18 Oct2025
Montrose#3 vs Hamilton#2
0-4•
02 Aug2025
Hamilton#2 vs Montrose#3
2-0•
20 Apr2024
Montrose#3 vs Hamilton#2
1-2•
27 Jan2024
Hamilton#2 vs Montrose#3
1-1•
28 Oct2023
Montrose#3 vs Hamilton#2
0-3•
26 Aug2023
Hamilton#2 vs Montrose#3
1-0•
08 Dec2001
Hamilton#2 vs Montrose#3
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Hamilton
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