SMO◦ANCE

Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes Eintracht Frankfurt favourites at 50% (Hamburger SV 32%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 1.90 and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Eintracht Frankfurt about 41% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

They last met on 2 May 2026, when Hamburger SV won 2-1.
Eintracht Frankfurt concede 3 goals a game away from home.

Germany•DFB Pokal

Hamburger sv(2)

L0d

W7d

W14d

W20d

W35d

L41d

L48d

L56d

W61d

W70d

6W · 0D · 4L

Eintracht Frankfurt(4)

W8d

L14d

W22d

D35d

W42d

L48d

D56d

W64d

L70d

W73d

5W · 2D · 3L

Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:00

H2H: 2-4-4

Last 10 matches

1010

13/1730/24

1.303.00

1.702.40

6/108/10

5/106/10

7/107/10

4/105/10

3/103/10

4/102/10

8/109/10

6/109/10

3/105/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Hamburger sv at homeEintracht Frankfurt away

3/43/6

0/41/6

1/42/6

1.253.67

1.503.00

3/44/6

2/44/6

0/44/6

2/45/6

1/43/6

2/41/6

1/42/6

2/46/6

1/43/6

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Hamburger sv: 1.9

Expected Goals

Eintracht Frankfurt: 2.37

Hamburger sv

32%

Draw

18%

Eintracht Frankfurt

50%

Over 2.5: 76%

BTTS: 60%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 6.9%

1 — Hamburger SV

2.75▲

Implied 34%

Edge -2.0%

3.70▲

Implied 25%

Edge -7.3%

2 — Eintracht Frankfurt

2.30▼

Implied 41%

Edge +9.3%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Hamburger sv · # = league position now

24 Oct2026

Paderborn#16 vs Hamburger sv#9

1-0L

17 Oct2026

Hamburger sv#9 vs Stuttgart#14

1-0W

10 Oct2026

Hoffenheim#13 vs Hamburger sv#9

2-3W

04 Oct2026

Hamburger sv#9 vs fc Copenhagen#1

2-0W

19 Sept2026

Hamburger sv#9 vs fc Koln#12

2-1W

13 Sept2026

rb Leipzig#7 vs Hamburger sv#9

5-0L

06 Sept2026

Hamburger sv#9 vs Mainz#5

0-5L

29 Aug2026

Dortmund#2 vs Hamburger sv#9

2-0L

24 Aug2026

Verl vs Hamburger sv#9

0-3W

15 Aug2026

Toulouse#12 vs Hamburger sv#9

1-2W

Team 2 Form

Eintracht Frankfurt · # = league position now

16 Oct2026

Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs fc Koln#12

1-0W

10 Oct2026

rb Leipzig#7 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

6-0L

02 Oct2026

Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Braunschweig#17

4-0W

19 Sept2026

Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Freiburg#3

2-2D

12 Sept2026

Mainz#5 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

1-3W

06 Sept2026

Eintracht Frankfurt#11 vs Augsburg#10

1-4L

29 Aug2026

Union Berlin#17 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

3-3D

21 Aug2026

sc St.tonis vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

0-11W

15 Aug2026

Brentford#7 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

7-0L

12 Aug2026

Fsv Frankfurt vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11

1-5W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

02 May2026