Football · K League 1 · South Korea
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Gimcheon Sangmu favourites at 41% (Gwangju FC 37%, draw 22%). Bookmakers give Gimcheon Sangmu about 46% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 61%.
Key facts
- They last met on 6 Sept 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
South Korea•K League 1
Gwangju fc(2)
W5d
L11d
W18d
D39d
D46d
L50d
D53d
L60d
D64d
L67d
Gimcheon Sangmu(3)
L5d
D11d
L19d
W40d
D46d
D50d
D53d
L61d
D65d
D68d
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 10:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-5-3
Last 10 matches
1010
18/2010/12
1.801.00
2.001.20
8/106/10
7/104/10
9/106/10
6/105/10
1/104/10
2/104/10
8/106/10
7/105/10
7/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Gwangju fc at homeGimcheon Sangmu away
55
1/51/5
1/53/5
3/51/5
1.401.00
2.201.00
3/53/5
2/52/5
1/50/5
5/52/5
2/52/5
0/53/5
2/52/5
2/52/5
3/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Gwangju fc: 1.45
Expected Goals
Gimcheon Sangmu: 1.53
Gwangju fc
37%
Draw
22%
Gimcheon Sangmu
41%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 61%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.0%
1 — Gwangju FC
3.20▼
Implied 29%
Edge +8.3%
X
3.60▲
Implied 25%
Edge -3.5%
2 — Gimcheon Sangmu
2.00
Implied 46%
Edge -4.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Gwangju fc · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Bucheon fc 1995 vs Gwangju fc
0-3W
18 Oct2026
Daejeon#3 vs Gwangju fc
3-2L
11 Oct2026
Gwangju fc vs Ulsan hd#2
4-3W
20 Sept2026
Jeonbuk#4 vs Gwangju fc
2-2D
13 Sept2026
Gwangju fc vs Anyang
1-1D
09 Sept2026
Gwangju fc vs Jeju sk
0-1L
06 Sept2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Gwangju fc vs Seoul#1
2-5L
26 Aug2026
Gangwon#5 vs Gwangju fc
2-2D
23 Aug2026
Gwangju fc vs Incheon#6
0-1L
Team 2 Form
Gimcheon Sangmu · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon#3
1-2L
18 Oct2026
Seoul#1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Anyang
0-1L
19 Sept2026
Bucheon fc 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0-2W
13 Sept2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon#5
2-2D
09 Sept2026
Pohang vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0-0D
06 Sept2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Ulsan hd#2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3-1L
25 Aug2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk#4
0-0D
22 Aug2026
Jeju sk vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10
06 Sept2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
2-2•
22 Jul2026
Gwangju fc vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1-1•
17 Mar2026
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
1-1•
22 Jul2025
Gwangju fc vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1-1•
05 May2025
Gwangju fc vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0•
16 Mar2025
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
0-0•
28 Sept2024
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
2-0•
15 Jun2024
Gwangju fc vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0•
06 Apr2024
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju fc
2-1•
25 Oct2020
Gwangju fc vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0-1•
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