Football · FA Cup · England
Guiseley vs Notts County
Monday, 07 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Guiseley favourites at 48% (Notts County 29%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.55 to 1.14 and 8 wins in Guiseley's last 10 matches to 5 for Notts County. Bookmakers give Guiseley about 15% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- Guiseley are unbeaten in 10 matches.
- Notts County are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- Guiseley scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Guiseley kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
England•FA Cup
Guiseley(0)
D3d
W6d
W10d
D13d
W20d
W24d
W27d
W34d
W38d
W41d
Notts County(0)
W3d
D6d
W13d
D20d
W24d
L27d
W31d
L34d
W52d
L55d
Monday, 07 December 2026 at 22:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
20/618/11
2.001.80
0.601.10
10/108/10
6/106/10
5/107/10
1/104/10
5/103/10
0/102/10
7/1010/10
5/105/10
5/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Guiseley at homeNotts County away
45
4/42/5
0/41/5
0/42/5
2.001.40
0.501.20
4/43/5
2/43/5
1/41/5
2/43/5
0/43/5
2/42/5
0/42/5
2/42/5
2/41/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Guiseley: 1.55
Expected Goals
Notts County: 1.14
Guiseley
48%
Draw
23%
Notts County
29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: medium
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.8%
1 — Guiseley
6.20
Implied 15%
Edge +33.2%
X
4.70
Implied 20%
Edge +3.5%
2 — Notts County
1.40
Implied 66%
Edge -36.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Guiseley · # = league position now
10 Nov2026
Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley
1-1D
07 Nov2026
Guiseley vs Sutton#11
1-0W
03 Nov2026
Guiseley vs Leek
4-1W
31 Oct2026
Redcar Athletic vs Guiseley
2-2D
24 Oct2026
Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley
1-3W
20 Oct2026
Guiseley vs Cleethorpes
2-1W
17 Oct2026
Leiston vs Guiseley
0-3W
10 Oct2026
Avro vs Guiseley
0-1W
06 Oct2026
Ilkeston vs Guiseley
0-2W
03 Oct2026
Guiseley vs Bradford pa
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Notts County · # = league position now
10 Nov2026
Burton#3 vs Notts County#1
0-3W
07 Nov2026
Altrincham#7 vs Notts County#1
2-2D
31 Oct2026
Mansfield#4 vs Notts County#1
0-2W
24 Oct2026
Notts County#1 vs Stockport County#1
1-1D
20 Oct2026
Notts County#1 vs Sheffield Wed#2
2-0W
17 Oct2026
Wycombe#1 vs Notts County#1
2-0L
13 Oct2026
Notts County#1 vs Nottingham U21#2
5-1W
10 Oct2026
Notts County#1 vs Oxford Utd#2
1-2L
22 Sept2026
Notts County#1 vs Grimsby#4
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Reading#3 vs Notts County#1
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Guiseley
No upcoming fixtures listed.
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