Grimsby vs Northampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Grimsby favourites at 56% (Northampton 19%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.42 to 0.68. Northampton lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 43%. Northampton won 2-0, against the model's 56% for Grimsby.

Key facts before the match

• Grimsby have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 18 Feb 2023, when Grimsby won 2-1.