Ghana vs Gambia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Gambia favourites at 62% (Ghana 19%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.01 to 1.01 and 5 wins in Gambia's last 10 matches to 1 for Ghana. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%. Gambia won 4-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Ghana have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Oct 2019, when Ghana won 1-0.