Getafe vs Malaga

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Getafe favourites at 62% (Malaga 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.76 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. It put over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 43%. Getafe won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Malaga have gone 8 matches without a win.
• Getafe have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 19 May 2018, when Getafe won 1-0.