Getafe vs Lugano

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lugano favourites at 74% (Getafe 10%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 0.63 and 8 wins in Lugano's last 10 matches to 2 for Getafe. It put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 47%. Lugano won 5-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lugano have won 3 matches in a row.