Germany vs Greece

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Germany favourites at 72% (Greece 13%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.40 to 0.88, 7 wins in Germany's last 10 matches to 2 for Greece and 4 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 59%. Greece won 1-0, against the model's 72% for Germany.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Jun 2024, when Germany won 2-1.
• 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.