Gent vs Aarhus

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Gent favourites at 57% (Aarhus 23%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 1.10 and 7 wins in Gent's last 10 matches to 3 for Aarhus. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 60%. Gent won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Gent are unbeaten in 10 matches.