Genoa vs Napoli

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Napoli favourites at 63% (Genoa 19%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.15 to 1.10, 6 wins in Napoli's last 10 matches to 3 for Genoa and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 64%. Napoli won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Napoli won 3-2.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.