Freiburg (GER) vs Luzern (SUI)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Freiburg (GER) favourites at 66% (Luzern (SUI) 18%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.60 to 1.28, 8 wins in Freiburg (GER)'s last 9 matches to 4 for Luzern (SUI) and 2 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 65%. Freiburg (GER) won 4-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Freiburg (GER) are unbeaten in 9 matches.
• They last met on 5 Sept 2025, when Freiburg (GER) won 4-2.
• 4 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.