Football · Serie B · Italy
Cesena vs Empoli
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Cesena favourites at 38% (Empoli 37%, draw 25%). Empoli lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Cesena about 46% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- Cesena have gone 6 matches without a win.
- Empoli have gone 5 matches without a win.
- Cesena are 15th in Serie B on 8 points from 8 games; Empoli are 16th on 7.
- They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.
- Empoli have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
Italy•Serie B
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
8/159/15
0.800.90
1.501.50
6/108/10
2/101/10
9/108/10
4/104/10
1/102/10
4/102/10
9/107/10
4/103/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Cesena at homeEmpoli away
46
0/41/6
4/43/6
0/42/6
1.251.00
1.251.33
4/46/6
1/40/6
0/40/6
4/45/6
1/42/6
0/41/6
0/40/6
1/42/6
4/45/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Cesena: 1.23
Expected Goals
Empoli: 1.19
Cesena
38%
Draw
25%
Empoli
37%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Cesena
2.00
Implied 46%
Edge -8.3%
X
3.40
Implied 27%
Edge -2.2%
2 — Empoli
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge +10.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Cesena · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Modena#3 vs Cesena#15
3-0L
18 Oct2026
Cesena#15 vs Avellino#8
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Benevento#5 vs Cesena#15
2-0L
18 Sept2026
Juve Stabia#14 vs Cesena#15
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Cesena#15 vs Cremonese#18
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Cesena#15 vs Mantova#2
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Entella#12 vs Cesena#15
1-2W
23 Aug2026
Cesena#15 vs Sampdoria#19
1-1D
17 Aug2026
Sassuolo#14 vs Cesena#15
3-0L
08 Aug2026
Forli vs Cesena#15
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Empoli · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Empoli#16 vs L.r. Vicenza#13
0-2L
17 Oct2026
Ascoli#4 vs Empoli#16
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Empoli#16 vs Palermo#1
2-4L
20 Sept2026
Modena#3 vs Empoli#16
2-1L
11 Sept2026
Empoli#16 vs Arezzo#10
0-1L
05 Sept2026
Carrarese#17 vs Empoli#16
0-1W
30 Aug2026
Mantova#2 vs Empoli#16
3-1L
22 Aug2026
Empoli#16 vs Cremonese#18
1-0W
17 Aug2026
Pisa#6 vs Empoli#16
1-1D
08 Aug2026
Livorno vs Empoli#16
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
28 Feb2026
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
1-1•
10 Jan2026
Cesena#15 vs Empoli#16
0-1•
17 Apr2018
Cesena#15 vs Empoli#16
2-3•
18 Nov2017
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
5-3•
29 Nov2016
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
1-2•
08 Feb2015
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
2-0•
20 Sept2014
Cesena#15 vs Empoli#16
2-2•
13 May2014
Cesena#15 vs Empoli#16
1-0•
14 Dec2013
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
0-0•
28 Apr2013
Empoli#16 vs Cesena#15
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Cesena
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