Football · Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes FC Volendam favourites at 75% (De Graafschap 12%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.79 to 1.02, FC Volendam sitting 7th in the table to De Graafschap's 16th and 5 wins in FC Volendam's last 10 matches to 3 for De Graafschap. Bookmakers give FC Volendam about 48% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 67%.
Key facts
- FC Volendam have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- FC Volendam average 3.8 goals a game at home.
- They last met on 22 Dec 2024, when FC Volendam won 2-1.
- 10 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
- De Graafschap concede 2.4 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eerste Divisie
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
24/1712/20
2.401.20
1.702.00
8/109/10
6/103/10
8/109/10
4/106/10
2/101/10
2/101/10
8/109/10
5/108/10
6/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
fc Volendam at homede Graafschap away
55
5/51/5
0/51/5
0/53/5
3.801.20
1.002.40
5/54/5
5/52/5
3/50/5
3/55/5
2/54/5
2/50/5
0/51/5
3/55/5
3/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
fc Volendam: 2.79
Expected Goals
de Graafschap: 1.02
fc Volendam
75%
Draw
13%
de Graafschap
12%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 67%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.7%
1 — FC Volendam
1.92▲
Implied 48%
Edge +27.1%
X
4.10▲
Implied 22%
Edge -9.4%
2 — De Graafschap
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge -17.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
fc Volendam · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Jong Utrecht#20
6-2W
18 Oct2026
Waalwijk#11 vs fc Volendam#7
1-1D
09 Oct2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Vitesse#9
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Almere City#4 vs fc Volendam#7
1-0L
26 Sept2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Venlo#3
3-2W
18 Sept2026
Jong az#8 vs fc Volendam#7
4-1L
13 Sept2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Den Bosch#13
2-0W
04 Sept2026
fc Emmen#2 vs fc Volendam#7
5-3L
28 Aug2026
fc Volendam#7 vs Dordrecht#17
6-1W
21 Aug2026
Maastricht#10 vs fc Volendam#7
1-0L
Team 2 Form
de Graafschap · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Waalwijk#11
1-1D
19 Oct2026
Jong Ajax#15 vs de Graafschap#16
2-1L
09 Oct2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Jong Utrecht#20
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Eindhoven fc#18 vs de Graafschap#16
2-2D
27 Sept2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Den Bosch#13
1-0W
20 Sept2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Nac Breda#6
1-2L
11 Sept2026
fc Emmen#2 vs de Graafschap#16
1-2W
04 Sept2026
Heracles#1 vs de Graafschap#16
5-0L
29 Aug2026
de Graafschap#16 vs Almere City#4
1-4L
23 Aug2026
Venlo#3 vs de Graafschap#16
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
22 Dec2024
fc Volendam#7 vs de Graafschap#16
2-1•
11 Aug2024
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
4-3•
08 Apr2022
fc Volendam#7 vs de Graafschap#16
3-1•
10 Sept2021
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
0-3•
24 Jan2021
fc Volendam#7 vs de Graafschap#16
1-4•
07 Nov2020
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
2-5•
09 Aug2020
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
1-2•
20 Dec2019
fc Volendam#7 vs de Graafschap#16
3-3•
23 Aug2019
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
3-0•
09 Feb2018
de Graafschap#16 vs fc Volendam#7
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
fc Volendam
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