FC Porto vs Benfica

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Benfica favourites at 50% (FC Porto 29%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 1.26 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 52%. FC Porto won 3-1, against the model's 50% for Benfica.

Key facts before the match

• Benfica have won 8 matches in a row.
• They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when it finished 2-2.