Football · MLS · USA
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Philadelphia Union favourites at 65% (FC Cincinnati 19%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.54 to 1.30 and 7 wins in Philadelphia Union's last 10 matches to 3 for FC Cincinnati. Bookmakers give Philadelphia Union about 42% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 66%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of FC Cincinnati's last 10 matches and 8 of Philadelphia Union's.
- FC Cincinnati are 8th in MLS on 42 points from 31 games; Philadelphia Union are 6th on 46.
- They last met on 10 Sept 2026, when Philadelphia Union won 5-0.
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Usa•MLS
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
17/2228/11
1.702.80
2.201.10
8/109/10
7/108/10
9/106/10
7/104/10
1/104/10
2/101/10
10/109/10
8/108/10
7/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
fc Cincinnati at homePhiladelphia Union away
44
1/43/4
1/41/4
2/40/4
1.753.00
2.251.00
3/43/4
3/43/4
1/43/4
4/42/4
3/41/4
0/42/4
1/41/4
3/43/4
3/42/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
fc Cincinnati: 1.3
Expected Goals
Philadelphia Union: 2.54
fc Cincinnati
19%
Draw
16%
Philadelphia Union
65%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.5%
1 — FC Cincinnati
2.70▼
Implied 35%
Edge -15.8%
X
4.00
Implied 23%
Edge -7.5%
2 — Philadelphia Union
2.25▲
Implied 42%
Edge +23.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
fc Cincinnati · # = league position now
29 Oct2026
Inter Miami#3 vs fc Cincinnati#8
2-2D
25 Oct2026
dc United#13 vs fc Cincinnati#8
0-2W
22 Oct2026
fc Cincinnati#8 vs dc United#13
2-1W
19 Oct2026
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Columbus Crew#10
0-2L
15 Oct2026
fc Cincinnati#8 vs New England Revolution#2
2-3L
11 Oct2026
Atlanta Utd#14 vs fc Cincinnati#8
1-3W
27 Sept2026
cf Montreal#15 vs fc Cincinnati#8
3-1L
20 Sept2026
Houston Dynamo#5 vs fc Cincinnati#8
2-2D
13 Sept2026
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Charlotte#5
3-3D
10 Sept2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
5-0L
Team 2 Form
Philadelphia Union · # = league position now
29 Oct2026
Nashville sc#1 vs Philadelphia Union#6
0-0D
25 Oct2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs New England Revolution#2
1-2L
17 Oct2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs Charlotte#5
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Chicago Fire#4 vs Philadelphia Union#6
1-3W
11 Oct2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs Real Salt Lake#10
2-1W
27 Sept2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs Orlando City#7
4-2W
20 Sept2026
Sporting Kansas City#15 vs Philadelphia Union#6
3-4W
14 Sept2026
San Diego fc#12 vs Philadelphia Union#6
0-5W
10 Sept2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
5-0W
06 Sept2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs cf Montreal#15
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 Sept2026
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
5-0•
31 Aug2025
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
0-1•
02 Mar2025
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
4-1•
08 Feb2025
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
4-1•
20 Oct2024
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
1-2•
14 Aug2024
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
2-4•
20 Jun2024
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
4-3•
09 Feb2024
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
4-3•
26 Nov2023
fc Cincinnati#8 vs Philadelphia Union#6
1-0•
17 Sept2023
Philadelphia Union#6 vs fc Cincinnati#8
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Philadelphia Union
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