Exeter vs Crewe

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Crewe favourites at 50% (Exeter 24%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.30 to 0.79. Exeter lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 46%. Exeter won 2-0, against the model's 50% for Crewe.

Key facts before the match

• Crewe are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 3 Mar 2020, when it finished 1-1.