Exeter vs Barnet

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Barnet favourites at 60% (Exeter 20%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.87 to 0.94. Exeter lead the head-to-head 7-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 66%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 2 Nov 2024, when Exeter won 5-3.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.