Exeter vs Accrington

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Accrington favourites at 49% (Exeter 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.66 to 1.20 and 3 wins in Accrington's last 10 matches to 1 for Exeter. Exeter lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 50%. Exeter won 2-0, against the model's 49% for Accrington.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 25 Mar 2023, when Exeter won 5-0.