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Football · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa

Ethiopia vs Senegal

Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Ethiopia0-1Senegal
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
0-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ethiopia favourites at 45% (Senegal 32%, draw 23%). That rests on 5 wins in Ethiopia's last 10 matches to 3 for Senegal. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 46%. Senegal won 1-0, against the model's 45% for Ethiopia.

Africa•Africa Cup of Nations
L46d
D154d
W157d
W224d
W228d
L394d
W398d
L427d
L431d
W464d
5W · 1D · 4L
vs
D46d
L132d
W137d
L140d
L147d
D153d
L163d
W224d
W227d
L296d
3W · 2D · 5L
Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 16:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Ethiopia0-1Senegal
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
0-0
H2H: 0-0-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ethiopia at homeSenegal away
46
3/40/6
1/42/6
0/44/6
1.001.33
0.252.17
4/45/6
0/43/6
0/40/6
1/45/6
0/44/6
3/41/6
0/41/6
0/44/6
1/45/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ethiopia: 1.45
Expected Goals
Senegal: 1.17
Ethiopia
45%
Draw
23%
Senegal
32%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 46%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Ethiopia · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Sudan#3 vs Ethiopia#4
1-0L
09 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-1D
06 Jun2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Malawi#3
1-0W
31 Mar2026
Ethiopia#4 vs Sao Tome And Principe
1-0W
27 Mar2026
Sao Tome And Principe vs Ethiopia#4
0-3W
12 Oct2025
Burkina Faso#2 vs Ethiopia#4
3-1L
08 Oct2025
Ethiopia#4 vs Guinea Bissau#1
1-0W
09 Sept2025
Sierra Leone#4 vs Ethiopia#4
2-0L
05 Sept2025
Egypt#1 vs Ethiopia#4
2-0L
03 Aug2025
dc United#14 vs Ethiopia#4
0-3W
Team 2 Form
Senegal · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Mozambique#2 vs Senegal#1
1-1D
01 Jul2026
Belgium#1 vs Senegal#1
3-2L
26 Jun2026
Senegal#1 vs Iraq#4
5-0W
23 Jun2026
Norway#2 vs Senegal#1
3-2L
16 Jun2026
France#1 vs Senegal#1
3-1L
10 Jun2026
Saudi Arabia#4 vs Senegal#1
0-0D
31 May2026
Usa#1 vs Senegal#1
3-2L
31 Mar2026
Senegal#1 vs Gambia#2
3-1W
28 Mar2026
Senegal#1 vs Peru
2-0W
18 Jan2026
Senegal#1 vs Morocco#1
0-3L

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