Estrela Calheta vs SC Vianense

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made SC Vianense favourites at 55% (Estrela Calheta 23%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 0.95 and 4 wins in SC Vianense's last 10 matches to 1 for Estrela Calheta. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 41%. SC Vianense won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Estrela Calheta have gone 9 matches without a win.