Football · Liga Portugal · Portugal
Estoril vs Moreirense
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Moreirense favourites at 55% (Estoril 20%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.43 to 0.72, Moreirense sitting 12th in the table to Estoril's 18th, 3 wins in Moreirense's last 10 matches to 0 for Estoril and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 51%.
Key facts
- Estoril have gone 10 matches without a win.
- They last met on 20 Apr 2026, when Moreirense won 1-0.
Portugal•Liga Portugal
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 18:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
6/1410/16
0.601.00
1.401.60
6/106/10
0/103/10
9/108/10
5/104/10
1/102/10
4/104/10
8/107/10
3/105/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Estoril at homeMoreirense away
45
0/41/5
2/41/5
2/43/5
0.500.60
1.251.60
2/43/5
0/40/5
0/40/5
3/44/5
2/42/5
1/41/5
2/42/5
1/42/5
2/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Estoril: 0.72
Expected Goals
Moreirense: 1.43
Estoril
20%
Draw
25%
Moreirense
55%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.5%
1 — Estoril
1.85▼
Implied 51%
Edge -31.2%
X
3.70▲
Implied 26%
Edge -0.6%
2 — Moreirense
4.10▲
Implied 23%
Edge +31.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Estoril · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Salgueiros vs Estoril#18
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Academico Viseu#7 vs Estoril#18
2-1L
20 Sept2026
Estoril#18 vs Casa Pia#17
1-2L
14 Sept2026
Braga#9 vs Estoril#18
1-0L
07 Sept2026
Estoril#18 vs Arouca#5
0-0D
31 Aug2026
Benfica#2 vs Estoril#18
2-1L
22 Aug2026
Estoril#18 vs Rio Ave#15
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Nacional#16 vs Estoril#18
2-0L
07 Aug2026
Estoril#18 vs Famalicao#14
1-1D
31 Jul2026
os Belenenses vs Estoril#18
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Moreirense · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Afs vs Moreirense#12
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Moreirense#12 vs Gil Vicente#6
0-1L
20 Sept2026
Vitoria Guimaraes#11 vs Moreirense#12
1-1D
14 Sept2026
Moreirense#12 vs Maritimo#13
3-1W
09 Sept2026
Moreirense#12 vs Benfica#2
0-4L
04 Sept2026
fc Porto#1 vs Moreirense#12
2-1L
30 Aug2026
Casa Pia#17 vs Moreirense#12
0-1W
16 Aug2026
Arouca#5 vs Moreirense#12
4-0L
09 Aug2026
Moreirense#12 vs Braga#9
2-2D
01 Aug2026
Moreirense#12 vs Amarante
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
20 Apr2026
Moreirense#12 vs Estoril#18
1-0•
07 Dec2025
Estoril#18 vs Moreirense#12
3-3•
11 May2025
Moreirense#12 vs Estoril#18
2-2•
28 Dec2024
Estoril#18 vs Moreirense#12
2-2•
18 May2024
Moreirense#12 vs Estoril#18
2-1•
13 Jan2024
Estoril#18 vs Moreirense#12
1-3•
07 May2022
Estoril#18 vs Moreirense#12
1-0•
29 Dec2021
Moreirense#12 vs Estoril#18
1-0•
12 Feb2018
Moreirense#12 vs Estoril#18
1-2•
10 Sept2017
Estoril#18 vs Moreirense#12
0-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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