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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Estonia vs Luxembourg

Saturday, 03 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Estonia1-0Luxembourg
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
0-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Estonia favourites at 45% (Luxembourg 29%, draw 26%). That rests on 2 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 35%. Estonia won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 12 Oct 2005, when Estonia won 2-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Estonia(2)
D28d
D31d
W140d
W143d
L211d
D214d
W343d
L348d
D378d
L381d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
Luxembourg(0)
L28d
W31d
W143d
L146d
W210d
W215d
L344d
L347d
L379d
L382d
4W · 0D · 6L
Saturday, 03 October 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Estonia1-0Luxembourg
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
0-0
H2H: 2-1-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Estonia at homeLuxembourg away
46
2/43/6
1/40/6
1/43/6
1.000.83
1.001.33
4/43/6
0/42/6
0/40/6
2/44/6
1/42/6
2/42/6
0/43/6
1/42/6
2/41/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Estonia: 1.24
Expected Goals
Luxembourg: 0.92
Estonia
45%
Draw
26%
Luxembourg
29%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 35%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Estonia · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0-0D
26 Sept2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1-1D
09 Jun2026
Estonia vs Lithuania
1-0W
06 Jun2026
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
1-0W
30 Mar2026
Rwanda#1 vs Estonia
2-0L
27 Mar2026
Kenya#4 vs Estonia
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Cyprus vs Estonia
2-4W
13 Nov2025
Norway#4 vs Estonia
4-1L
14 Oct2025
Estonia vs Moldova
1-1D
11 Oct2025
Estonia vs Italy#2
1-3L
Team 2 Form
Luxembourg · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Luxembourg vs Iceland
0-3L
26 Sept2026
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
1-2W
06 Jun2026
Albania#4 vs Luxembourg
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1L
31 Mar2026
Luxembourg vs Malta
3-0W
26 Mar2026
Malta vs Luxembourg
0-2W
17 Nov2025
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg
1-0L
14 Nov2025
Luxembourg vs Germany#3
0-2L
13 Oct2025
Slovakia#3 vs Luxembourg
2-0L
10 Oct2025
Germany#3 vs Luxembourg
4-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
12 Oct2005
Luxembourg vs Estonia
0-2•
04 Sept2004
Estonia vs Luxembourg
4-0•
26 Apr2000
Luxembourg vs Estonia
1-1•

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