Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Estonia vs Luxembourg
Saturday, 03 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Estonia1-0Luxembourg
- 1ST HALF
- 1-0
- 2ND HALF
- 0-0
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Estonia favourites at 45% (Luxembourg 29%, draw 26%). That rests on 2 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 35%. Estonia won 1-0, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 12 Oct 2005, when Estonia won 2-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League

Estonia(2)
D28d
D31d
W140d
W143d
L211d
D214d
W343d
L348d
D378d
L381d

Luxembourg(0)
L28d
W31d
W143d
L146d
W210d
W215d
L344d
L347d
L379d
L382d
Saturday, 03 October 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Estonia1-0Luxembourg
- 1ST HALF
- 1-0
- 2ND HALF
- 0-0
H2H: 2-1-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Estonia at homeLuxembourg away
46
2/43/6
1/40/6
1/43/6
1.000.83
1.001.33
4/43/6
0/42/6
0/40/6
2/44/6
1/42/6
2/42/6
0/43/6
1/42/6
2/41/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Estonia: 1.24
Expected Goals
Luxembourg: 0.92
Estonia
45%
Draw
26%
Luxembourg
29%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 35%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Estonia · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0-0D
26 Sept2026
Iceland vs Estonia
1-1D
09 Jun2026
Estonia vs Lithuania
1-0W
06 Jun2026
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
1-0W
30 Mar2026
Rwanda#1 vs Estonia
2-0L
27 Mar2026
Kenya#4 vs Estonia
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Cyprus vs Estonia
2-4W
13 Nov2025
Norway#4 vs Estonia
4-1L
14 Oct2025
Estonia vs Moldova
1-1D
11 Oct2025
Estonia vs Italy#2
1-3L
Team 2 Form
Luxembourg · # = league position now
29 Sept2026
Luxembourg vs Iceland
0-3L
26 Sept2026
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
1-2W
06 Jun2026
Albania#4 vs Luxembourg
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1L
31 Mar2026
Luxembourg vs Malta
3-0W
26 Mar2026
Malta vs Luxembourg
0-2W
17 Nov2025
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg
1-0L
14 Nov2025
Luxembourg vs Germany#3
0-2L
13 Oct2025
Slovakia#3 vs Luxembourg
2-0L
10 Oct2025
Germany#3 vs Luxembourg
4-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
12 Oct2005
Luxembourg vs Estonia
0-2•
04 Sept2004
Estonia vs Luxembourg
4-0•
26 Apr2000
Luxembourg vs Estonia
1-1•
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