Elversberg vs Augsburg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Augsburg favourites at 60% (Elversberg 24%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.84 to 1.82 and 4 wins from the last 9 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 77%. Elversberg won 4-3, against the model's 60% for Augsburg.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Aug 2015, when Augsburg won 3-1.