Eibar vs Mallorca

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Eibar favourites at 49% (Mallorca 26%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.38 to 0.91 and 7 wins in Eibar's last 10 matches to 5 for Mallorca. Mallorca lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 43%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 25%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 5 Jan 2022, when Mallorca won 2-1.