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Football · LaLiga2 · Spain

Eibar vs Almeria

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Almeria favourites at 41% (Eibar 36%, draw 23%). Eibar lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Almeria about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 48%.

Key facts

  • Almeria are unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • Eibar are 3rd in LaLiga2 on 22 points from 11 games; Almeria are 2nd on 25.
  • They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Eibar won 1-0.
Spain•LaLiga2
Rank 3 · 22 pts
L3d
D10d
L15d
W24d
W30d
W38d
W43d
W51d
W58d
W65d
7W · 1D · 2L
vs
Rank 2 · 25 pts
D3d
W10d
W16d
W24d
W30d
W37d
W45d
W51d
L59d
L65d
7W · 1D · 2L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1019/9
1.901.90
1.000.90
9/108/10
5/107/10
6/106/10
3/103/10
4/104/10
1/102/10
8/107/10
6/105/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Eibar at homeAlmeria away
45
3/43/5
1/40/5
0/42/5
2.001.40
0.750.80
4/43/5
2/42/5
2/41/5
2/43/5
1/41/5
2/42/5
0/42/5
2/41/5
2/41/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Eibar: 1.34
Expected Goals
Almeria: 1.43
Eibar
36%
Draw
23%
Almeria
41%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.2%
1 — Eibar
2.35▼
Implied 39%
Edge -3.0%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -4.7%
2 — Almeria
2.75▲
Implied 33%
Edge +7.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Eibar · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Cordoba#11 vs Eibar#3
2-0L
17 Oct2026
Eibar#3 vs Mallorca#6
1-1D
12 Oct2026
Oviedo#8 vs Eibar#3
3-1L
03 Oct2026
Albacete#22 vs Eibar#3
1-3W
27 Sept2026
Eibar#3 vs Las Palmas#14
3-2W
19 Sept2026
Eldense#13 vs Eibar#3
1-2W
14 Sept2026
Celta Vigo b#16 vs Eibar#3
0-4W
06 Sept2026
Eibar#3 vs Granada cf#5
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Andorra#19 vs Eibar#3
0-1W
23 Aug2026
Eibar#3 vs Valladolid#15
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Almeria · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Almeria#2 vs Oviedo#8
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Real Sociedad b#20 vs Almeria#2
2-4W
11 Oct2026
Almeria#2 vs Leganes#17
3-0W
03 Oct2026
Almeria#2 vs Burgos cf#9
2-1W
27 Sept2026
Mallorca#6 vs Almeria#2
0-1W
20 Sept2026
Almeria#2 vs Celta Vigo b#16
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Cordoba#11 vs Almeria#2
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Almeria#2 vs Cadiz cf#18
3-2W
29 Aug2026
Sabadell#10 vs Almeria#2
1-0L
23 Aug2026
Tenerife#12 vs Almeria#2
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Jan2026
Eibar#3 vs Almeria#2
1-0•
01 Nov2025
Almeria#2 vs Eibar#3
3-1•
07 Mar2025
Eibar#3 vs Almeria#2
1-0•
22 Sept2024
Almeria#2 vs Eibar#3
2-2•
24 Jan2022
Almeria#2 vs Eibar#3
0-2•
15 Oct2021
Eibar#3 vs Almeria#2
1-0•
26 Apr2015
Almeria#2 vs Eibar#3
2-0•
08 Dec2014
Eibar#3 vs Almeria#2
5-2•
19 Mar2006
Eibar#3 vs Almeria#2
0-1•
16 Oct2005
Almeria#2 vs Eibar#3
1-1•

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