Dunfermline vs Ayr

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ayr favourites at 56% (Dunfermline 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 1.05, 8 wins in Ayr's last 10 matches to 5 for Dunfermline and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 42%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Ayr have won 8 matches in a row.
• They last met on 7 Apr 2026, when Dunfermline won 3-0.