Dulwich Hamlet vs East Grinstead

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dulwich Hamlet favourites at 60% (East Grinstead 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.09 and 6 wins in Dulwich Hamlet's last 10 matches to 0 for East Grinstead. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 57%. Dulwich Hamlet won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• East Grinstead have gone 10 matches without a win.