Dortmund vs Villarreal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dortmund favourites at 50% (Villarreal 29%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.87 to 1.35 and 6 wins in Dortmund's last 10 matches to 4 for Villarreal. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 58%. Dortmund won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Dortmund have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 25 Nov 2025, when Dortmund won 4-0.