Dortmund vs Paderborn

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dortmund favourites at 50% (Paderborn 29%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 1.26 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 63%. Dortmund won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Dortmund have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 7 Oct 2021, when Paderborn won 3-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.