Denmark vs Wales

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Denmark favourites at 64% (Wales 18%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.09 to 1.00, 5 wins in Denmark's last 10 matches to 2 for Wales and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 52%. Denmark won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Wales have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 26 Jun 2021, when Denmark won 4-0.