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Football · Efbet League · Bulgaria

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets

Monday, 26 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Ludogorets favourites at 50% (CSKA Sofia 30%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.01 to 1.49, 8 wins in Ludogorets's last 10 matches to 6 for CSKA Sofia and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Ludogorets about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

  • Ludogorets have won 6 matches in a row.
  • CSKA Sofia scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Ludogorets scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Ludogorets kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • CSKA Sofia are 2nd in Efbet League on 27 points from 11 games; Ludogorets are 3rd on 26.
Bulgaria•Efbet League
Rank 2 · 27 pts
D2d
W6d
L9d
W13d
D34d
W38d
W42d
W45d
D49d
W55d
6W · 3D · 1L
vs
Rank 3 · 26 pts
W7d
W12d
W20d
W27d
W40d
W48d
D55d
D63d
W70d
W76d
8W · 2D · 0L
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
23/1227/6
2.302.70
1.200.60
10/1010/10
7/108/10
8/105/10
4/101/10
2/105/10
0/100/10
10/1010/10
6/107/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Cska Sofia at homeLudogorets away
34
2/33/4
0/31/4
1/30/4
2.672.25
1.331.00
3/34/4
2/33/4
2/32/4
3/33/4
1/31/4
0/31/4
0/30/4
3/33/4
3/33/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Cska Sofia: 1.49
Expected Goals
Ludogorets: 2.01
Cska Sofia
30%
Draw
20%
Ludogorets
50%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.6%
1 — CSKA Sofia
2.35▲
Implied 39%
Edge -9.2%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -7.9%
2 — Ludogorets
2.80▼
Implied 33%
Edge +17.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Cska Sofia · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Nordsjaelland#4 vs Cska Sofia#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Nesebar vs Cska Sofia#2
0-2W
15 Oct2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Monaco#5
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Cska 1948 Sofia#4 vs Cska Sofia#2
2-3W
20 Sept2026
Lok. Plovdiv#11 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-1D
16 Sept2026
Lok. Sofia#12 vs Cska Sofia#2
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Arda#6
4-1W
09 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Cska Sofia#2
2-4W
05 Sept2026
Spartak Varna#7 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Cherno More#14
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Ludogorets · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Beroe vs Ludogorets#3
0-3W
12 Oct2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Arda#6
5-0W
04 Oct2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Cherno More#14
5-0W
27 Sept2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Ramnicu Valcea
3-0W
14 Sept2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Septemvri Sofia#13
2-1W
06 Sept2026
Lok. Sofia#12 vs Ludogorets#3
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Spartak Varna#7 vs Ludogorets#3
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Slavia Sofia#8
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Botev Plovdiv#5
2-0W
09 Aug2026
Cherno More#14 vs Ludogorets#3
2-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 May2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-0•
03 May2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Ludogorets#3
1-0•
29 Apr2026
Cska Sofia#2 vs Ludogorets#3
0-0•
21 Apr2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-2•
14 Mar2026
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
3-0•
05 Oct2025
Cska Sofia#2 vs Ludogorets#3
0-0•
22 May2025
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-0•
24 Nov2024
Cska Sofia#2 vs Ludogorets#3
2-2•
21 Jul2024
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
1-0•
11 May2024
Ludogorets#3 vs Cska Sofia#2
3-1•

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