Football · FA Cup · England
Crewe vs Plymouth
Sunday, 06 December 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Plymouth favourites at 44% (Crewe 35%, draw 21%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Plymouth about 51% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 65%.
Key facts
- Crewe have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 8 Feb 2022, when Plymouth won 4-1.
England•FA Cup
Crewe(3)
L3d
W6d
D13d
L20d
L24d
W27d
W34d
D38d
W41d
D48d
Plymouth(5)
W3d
W6d
D13d
W20d
L24d
L27d
W34d
D38d
W41d
L48d
Sunday, 06 December 2026 at 18:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1715/12
1.501.50
1.701.20
9/106/10
4/106/10
9/107/10
5/104/10
1/103/10
1/104/10
9/108/10
6/106/10
8/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Crewe at homePlymouth away
54
3/52/4
1/51/4
1/51/4
2.001.75
1.401.75
5/53/4
3/53/4
2/51/4
5/53/4
2/53/4
0/51/4
0/51/4
4/53/4
5/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Crewe: 1.49
Expected Goals
Plymouth: 1.68
Crewe
35%
Draw
21%
Plymouth
44%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 65%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.3%
1 — Crewe
3.80
Implied 24%
Edge +10.7%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -4.0%
2 — Plymouth
1.82
Implied 51%
Edge -6.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Crewe · # = league position now
10 Nov2026
Crewe#3 vs Wigan#1
1-2L
07 Nov2026
Crewe#3 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
2-1W
31 Oct2026
Crewe#3 vs Barnet#1
1-1D
24 Oct2026
Chesterfield#1 vs Crewe#3
5-1L
20 Oct2026
Exeter#1 vs Crewe#3
2-0L
17 Oct2026
Crewe#3 vs Rochdale#4
3-2W
10 Oct2026
Swindon#4 vs Crewe#3
0-1W
06 Oct2026
Blackpool#2 vs Crewe#3
2-2D
03 Oct2026
Crewe#3 vs Bristol Rovers#4
3-1W
26 Sept2026
Rotherham#3 vs Crewe#3
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Plymouth · # = league position now
10 Nov2026
Plymouth#1 vs Swindon#4
2-1W
07 Nov2026
Plymouth#1 vs Alvechurch
4-0W
31 Oct2026
Plymouth#1 vs Reading#3
0-0D
24 Oct2026
Cambridge Utd#1 vs Plymouth#1
2-3W
20 Oct2026
Stevenage#1 vs Plymouth#1
3-0L
17 Oct2026
Plymouth#1 vs Huddersfield#1
0-2L
10 Oct2026
Plymouth#1 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
2-1W
06 Oct2026
Newport#3 vs Plymouth#1
2-2D
03 Oct2026
Leyton Orient#4 vs Plymouth#1
0-2W
26 Sept2026
Plymouth#1 vs Burton#3
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Feb2022
Crewe#3 vs Plymouth#1
1-4•
28 Sept2021
Plymouth#1 vs Crewe#3
1-1•
16 Jan2021
Plymouth#1 vs Crewe#3
1-1•
15 Dec2020
Crewe#3 vs Plymouth#1
2-1•
15 Feb2020
Plymouth#1 vs Crewe#3
2-1•
03 Aug2019
Crewe#3 vs Plymouth#1
0-3•
29 Apr2017
Plymouth#1 vs Crewe#3
2-1•
12 Nov2016
Crewe#3 vs Plymouth#1
1-2•
07 Jan2012
Crewe#3 vs Plymouth#1
3-2•
27 Aug2011
Plymouth#1 vs Crewe#3
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Crewe
Plymouth
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