Crewe vs Northampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Crewe favourites at 46% (Northampton 29%, draw 25%). That rests on 4 wins in Crewe's last 10 matches to 2 for Northampton. Northampton lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 46%. Crewe won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Mar 2023, when Northampton won 1-0.