Cremonese vs Padova

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Padova favourites at 51% (Cremonese 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.60 to 1.06 and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 49%. Cremonese won 3-1, against the model's 51% for Padova.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 9 Feb 2019, when it finished 0-0.