Football · Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia vs Motor Lublin
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Motor Lublin favourites at 43% (Cracovia 36%, draw 21%). That rests on 4 wins in Motor Lublin's last 10 matches to 2 for Cracovia. Bookmakers give Motor Lublin about 28% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 70%.
Key facts
- Cracovia are 12th in Ekstraklasa on 12 points from 12 games; Motor Lublin are 11th on 13.
- They last met on 16 May 2026, when it finished 3-3.
- 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.
Poland•Ekstraklasa
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
15/2016/14
1.501.60
2.001.40
9/108/10
4/105/10
10/107/10
6/106/10
0/103/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
7/106/10
9/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Cracovia at homeMotor Lublin away
53
2/51/3
1/51/3
2/51/3
1.801.67
1.601.67
4/53/3
3/51/3
2/51/3
5/53/3
2/52/3
0/50/3
1/50/3
3/52/3
4/53/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Cracovia: 1.59
Expected Goals
Motor Lublin: 1.76
Cracovia
36%
Draw
21%
Motor Lublin
43%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 70%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.3%
1 — Cracovia
2.00▲
Implied 47%
Edge -10.6%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -4.2%
2 — Motor Lublin
3.30▼
Implied 28%
Edge +14.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Cracovia · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Piast Gliwice#5 vs Cracovia#12
3-1L
17 Oct2026
Cracovia#12 vs Legia#3
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Cracovia#12 vs Zaglebie#6
3-1W
03 Oct2026
Cracovia#12 vs Termalica B-b.
2-3L
19 Sept2026
Gks Katowice#7 vs Cracovia#12
3-2L
13 Sept2026
Wisla Plock#10 vs Cracovia#12
3-1L
06 Sept2026
Cracovia#12 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
0-1L
02 Sept2026
Pruszkow vs Cracovia#12
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Radomiak Radom#16 vs Cracovia#12
2-1L
21 Aug2026
Cracovia#12 vs Wieczysta Krakow#15
3-2W
Team 2 Form
Motor Lublin · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Zaglebie#6
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Slask Wroclaw#17
3-2W
12 Oct2026
Radomiak Radom#16 vs Motor Lublin#11
2-3W
19 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Gornik Zabrze#1
0-0D
11 Sept2026
Rakow#18 vs Motor Lublin#11
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
2-3L
01 Sept2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Legia#3
3-0W
29 Aug2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Piast Gliwice#5
0-2L
22 Aug2026
Korona Kielce#9 vs Motor Lublin#11
1-1D
16 Aug2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Gks Katowice#7
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 May2026
Motor Lublin#11 vs Cracovia#12
3-3•
22 Nov2025
Cracovia#12 vs Motor Lublin#11
1-2•
26 Apr2025
Motor Lublin#11 vs Cracovia#12
0-1•
26 Oct2024
Cracovia#12 vs Motor Lublin#11
6-2•
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