Football · Copa del Rey · Spain
Covadonga vs Valladolid
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.Match preview
The model makes Covadonga favourites at 59% (Valladolid 22%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.08 to 1.20 and 6 wins in Covadonga's last 10 matches to 3 for Valladolid. Bookmakers give Covadonga about 7% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- Covadonga kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Spain•Copa del Rey
Covadonga(0)
W4d
W11d
L18d
W25d
W33d
W39d
D46d
W53d
D61d
L85d
Valladolid(0)
L6d
L11d
W17d
D25d
W32d
D39d
L46d
W54d
D60d
L67d
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 22:00
Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
22/1416/14
2.201.60
1.401.40
8/108/10
8/104/10
5/108/10
3/104/10
5/102/10
2/102/10
9/108/10
8/106/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Covadonga at homeValladolid away
45
4/40/5
0/43/5
0/42/5
3.501.00
0.251.40
4/44/5
4/41/5
3/40/5
1/45/5
0/42/5
3/40/5
0/41/5
4/42/5
1/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Covadonga: 2.08
Expected Goals
Valladolid: 1.2
Covadonga
59%
Draw
19%
Valladolid
22%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: medium
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.4%
1 — Covadonga
13.00▲
Implied 7%
Edge +51.9%
X
6.00▲
Implied 15%
Edge +3.6%
2 — Valladolid
1.19
Implied 78%
Edge -55.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Covadonga
25 Oct2026
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
0-2W
18 Oct2026
Covadonga vs Mosconia
4-0W
11 Oct2026
ei San Martin vs Covadonga
4-2L
04 Oct2026
Covadonga vs Club Siero
2-1W
26 Sept2026
cd Colunga vs Covadonga
1-2W
20 Sept2026
Covadonga vs Caudal Deportivo
4-0W
13 Sept2026
Langreo vs Covadonga
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Covadonga vs Aviles Stadium
4-0W
29 Aug2026
Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga
0-0D
05 Aug2026
Oviedo b vs Covadonga
6-0L
Team 2 Form
Valladolid · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Granada cf#5 vs Valladolid#15
2-1L
18 Oct2026
Valladolid#15 vs Eldense#13
2-3L
12 Oct2026
Valladolid#15 vs Albacete#22
5-0W
04 Oct2026
Las Palmas#14 vs Valladolid#15
2-2D
27 Sept2026
Valladolid#15 vs Cordoba#11
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Ceuta#21 vs Valladolid#15
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Valladolid#15 vs Oviedo#9
0-3L
05 Sept2026
Valladolid#15 vs Andorra#19
1-0W
30 Aug2026
Cadiz cf#18 vs Valladolid#15
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Eibar#3 vs Valladolid#15
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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